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Filtered Conformal Ellipsoids for Graph-Native Time Series

Filtered conformal ellipsoids combine frozen state-space filters with split-conformal calibration of Mahalanobis scores to yield adaptive multivariate time-series prediction sets with approximate coverage under dependence, yielding sharper ellipsoids than static baselines on moderate graph-native be

Yannick Limmer

Sydney Poster Session 2, Tue, Dec 8, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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AI panel: 10 of 20 reviewers recommend it
lenient 3/5
medium 7/10
strict 0/5