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NeurIPS 2026SpotlightApplied AIAPPLIED-AIApplied AI InstituteHigher School of EconomicsSkoltechEvent sequences

Realism VS Accuracy: Event Sequence Forecasting from a Generative Modeling Perspective

Dmitry Osin, Egor Surkov, Petr Mokrov, Igor Udovichenko and 4 more

Paris Poster Session 3, Thu, Dec 10, 12:30 PM–2:30 PM, Paris Poster Hall · Published 2026

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NeurIPS 2026APPLIED-AIHigher School of Economics, HighAppliedAI Instituteindependent scientistSkoltechLLM pretraining & scaling laws

Bug or Feature$^2$: Weight Drift, Activation Sparsity, and Spikes

Standard losses and biased activations induce negative weight drift that drives early training dynamics and extreme sparsity across architectures, with squared activations sharply improving accuracy until a cliff near 70% sparsity unless clipping controls intermediate spikes.

Egor Shvetsov, Aleksandr Serkov, Shokorov Viacheslav, Redko Dmitry and 2 more

Paris Poster Session 1, Wed, Dec 9, 12:30 PM–2:30 PM, Paris Poster Hall · Published 2026 · ▲ 1 on Hugging Face · Code ★ 1

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AI panel: 13 of 20 reviewers recommend it
lenient 4/5
medium 7/10
strict 2/5