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Minimax Rates and Spectral Distillation for Tree Ensembles

Tree ensemble minimax rates depend on induced kernel eigenvalue decay, and spectral compression yields orders-of-magnitude smaller distilled models with competitive accuracy.

Binh Vu, David Watson

Published 2026Sydney Poster Session 2 · Tue, Dec 8, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM local time · Hall 1-4arXiv ↗OpenReview ↗

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Abstract

Tree ensembles such as random forests (RFs) and gradient boosting machines (GBMs) are among the most widely used supervised learners, yet their theoretical properties remain incompletely understood. We adopt a spectral perspective on these algorithms, with two main contributions. First, we derive minimax-optimal convergence for RF regression, showing that, under mild regularity conditions on tree growth, the eigenvalue decay of the induced kernel operator governs the statistical rate. Second, we exploit this spectral viewpoint to develop compression schemes for tree ensembles. For RFs, leading eigenfunctions of the kernel operator capture the dominant predictive directions; for GBMs, leading singular vectors of the smoother matrix play an analogous role. Learning nonlinear maps for these spectral representations yields distilled models that are orders of magnitude smaller than the originals while maintaining competitive predictive performance. Our methods compare favorably to state of the art algorithms for forest pruning and rule extraction, with applications to resource constrained computing.