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ViPro-2: Unsupervised State Estimation via Integrated Dynamics for Guiding Video Prediction

ViPro-2 infers initial symbolic states from observations without ground-truth initialization to prevent shortcut learning, enabling unsupervised state estimation and extending to 3D Orbits.

Patrick Takenaka, Johannes Maucher, Marco F. Huber

Published Jun 30, 2025Paper ↗

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Abstract

Predicting future video frames is a challenging task with many downstream applications. Previous work [1], [2] has shown that procedural knowledge enables deep models for complex dynamical settings, however their model ViPro assumed a given ground truth initial symbolic state. We show that this approach led to the model learning a shortcut that does not actually connect the observed environment with the predicted symbolic state, resulting in the inability to estimate states given an observation if previous states are noisy. In this work, we add several improvements to ViPro that enables the model to correctly infer states from observations without providing a full ground truth state in the beginning. We show that this is possible in an unsupervised manner, and extend the original Orbits dataset with a 3D variant to close the gap to real world scenarios.