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SimplexUQ: An Evaluation Framework and Benchmark for Conformal Uncertainty on Simplex-Valued Predictions

SimplexUQ benchmarks conformal wrappers on simplex-valued predictions, showing global calibration can hide severe under-coverage and no wrapper universally dominates across tasks and stratification maps.

Liang You, Hengyu Shi, Dongwen Ou

Atlanta Poster Session 2, Wed, Dec 9, 4:30 PM–7:30 PM, Hall C1 · Published 2026

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AI panel: 13 of 20 reviewers recommend it
lenient 4/5
medium 6/10
strict 3/5