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Log-Likelihood, Simpson’s Paradox, and the Detection of Machine-Generated Text
Average token-level log-likelihood scores suffer Simpson’s paradox across hidden-space regions, and local calibration via learned score-distribution predictors fixes it, boosting detection AUROC substantially.
Sydney Poster Session 6, Thu, Dec 10, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026
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