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Dirichlet-Guided Group Forecasting for Alleviating Over-smoothing in Time Series Forecasting

Dirichlet-Guided Group Forecasting reduces time-series over-smoothing by modeling multi-modal predictive distributions with Dirichlet-guided sampling, improving accuracy, diversity, and dynamical consistency.

Xingyu Zhang, Jingyao Wang, Xin Yu, Zeen Song and 3 more

Sydney Poster Session 4, Wed, Dec 9, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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AI panel: 11 of 20 reviewers recommend it
lenient 4/5
medium 7/10
strict 0/5