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CruxBench: A Benchmark of Information Discovery

CruxBench evaluates LLM information discovery via Value of Information for decomposing forecasting problems into key subquestions, finding frontier models barely exceed random baselines.

Lina Piao, Amelia Hui Dai, Nick Merrill, Nadja Flechner and 2 more

Sydney Poster Session 4, Wed, Dec 9, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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AI panel: 13 of 20 reviewers recommend it
lenient 5/5
medium 6/10
strict 2/5