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SEER: Self-Evolving Event Reasoning and Retrieval for Time Series Forecasting

SEER uses self-evolving event reasoning and retrieval to dynamically optimize forecasting with exogenous events via reflective memory and causal knowledge, outperforming state-of-the-art baselines.

Mingtian Tan, Palash Goyal, Mihir Parmar, Sarkar Snigdha Sarathi Das and 5 more

Published Oct 2, 2026 · ▲ 13 on Hugging Face · Code

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A Memory Efficient Unified Algorithm for Online Learning of Linear Dynamical Systems

Yuval Ran-Milo, Angelos Assos, Elad Hazan

Sydney Poster Session 3, Wed, Dec 9, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Beyond Linear Decoders: Dynamic Expert-Coupled Optimal Decoding for Time Series Forecasting

Binwu Wang, Zhipeng Liu, Zhengyang Zhou, Pengkun Wang and 1 more

Sydney Poster Session 5, Thu, Dec 10, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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CVTA: Cross-Variable Temporal Attention for Multivariate Irregular Time Series Prediction

Ankitkumar Joshi, Milos Hauskrecht

Atlanta Poster Session 5, Fri, Dec 11, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall C1 · Published 2026

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Does Synthetic Data Help? Empirical Evidence from Deep Learning Time Series Forecasters

Hugo Cazaux, Eyjolfur Asgeirsson, Hlynur Stefansson

Sydney Poster Session 2, Tue, Dec 8, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Decomposing Temporal and Job-Induced Dynamics for Probabilistic Computing Workload Forecasting via Graph-Conditioned Dual-Branch Diffusion

Baozhen Luo, Minbo Ma, Honglin Zhang, Yuan Yuan and 3 more

Sydney Poster Session 3, Wed, Dec 9, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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ToLD: Efficient Time Series Forecasting via Tokenized Truncated Latent Diffusion

Jiayi Tian, Jiaze Wang, Wenzhe zhao, Tian Xia and 1 more

Sydney Poster Session 1, Tue, Dec 8, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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IMTS-Tokenizer: Time-Aware Tokenization for Irregular Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

Bin Xu, Yinghua Li, Linqi Han, Xiaoyu Li and 3 more

Sydney Poster Session 1, Tue, Dec 8, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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OliO: ODE-based Linear Transition Operator for Self-Supervised Time Series Forecasting

Kwangryeol Park, Seulki Lee

Sydney Poster Session 2, Tue, Dec 8, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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OTformer: Non-Stationarity-Aware Adaptive Optimal Transport Attention for Time Series Forecasting

Zhaowei Liu, Kaixiang Wang, Sheng Liu, zengyang zhang and 7 more

Paris Poster Session 3, Thu, Dec 10, 12:30 PM–2:30 PM, Paris Poster Hall · Published 2026

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Dynamic Dual-Feedback Conformal Inference for Time Series Forecasting

Songlin Du, Ling Luo, Uwe Aickelin

Sydney Poster Session 2, Tue, Dec 8, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Paloma: Phase-Conditioned Residual Modulation for Time Series Forecasting

Jingru Fei, Kun Yi, Wei Fan, Qi Zhang and 1 more

Sydney Poster Session 3, Wed, Dec 9, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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TimeOperator: A Function-to-Function Approach to Time Series Modeling

SheoYon Jhin, B. Aditya Prakash, Noseong Park

Sydney Poster Session 4, Wed, Dec 9, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Predictive Representation Learning for Partially Observed Neural Dynamics

Xinyi Li, Zhichao Liang, Hongjun Jiang, Yian Zhu and 5 more

Sydney Poster Session 3, Wed, Dec 9, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Rubato: Signature Attention for Irregular Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

Jintao Yang, Meng Wang, Chenjuan Guo, Bin Yang

Sydney Poster Session 5, Thu, Dec 10, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Robust Residual Correction via Selective Deployment for Time Series Forecasting

Jianxiang Xie, YUNCHENG HUA, Mingyue Cheng, Flora Salim and 1 more

Sydney Poster Session 4, Wed, Dec 9, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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OrangeTree: A Linear and Tree-based Time Series Forecasting Model Supporting Multiple Input and Output Lengths

Yiqi Tang, Zhichen Lai, Yuxuan Yang, Dalin Zhang and 3 more

Sydney Poster Session 4, Wed, Dec 9, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Safe Active Learning with Future Viability Guarantees in Time-Series Models

Hyeonjun Park, Whiyoung Jung, Deunsol Yoon, Sunghoon Hong and 2 more

Sydney Poster Session 4, Wed, Dec 9, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Hermes: A Multi-Scale Spatial-Temporal Hypergraph Network for Stock Time Series Forecasting

Xiangfei Qiu, Liu Yang, Xiangyu Xu, Hanyin Cheng and 8 more

Sydney Poster Session 1, Tue, Dec 8, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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MDK-MoE: Multi-view Decomposed Kalman Mixture of Experts Framework for Non-stationary Time Series Forecasting

Rui Hou, Yao Liu, Ruilin Jiang, Mengyao Lu and 3 more

Sydney Poster Session 5, Thu, Dec 10, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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fev-bench: A Realistic Benchmark for Time Series Forecasting

Oleksandr Shchur, Abdul Fatir Ansari, Ali Caner Turkmen, Lorenzo Stella and 4 more

Sydney Poster Session 6, Thu, Dec 10, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026 · Code ★ 179

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Linear approximations to HMM filtering

Andrew Mah, Joshua L Pughe-Sanford, Sarah Harvey, Alex Williams

Sydney Poster Session 1, Tue, Dec 8, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Diff-Kalman: Difference-Driven Learning for Structure-Preserving Kalman Filtering

Jia Gao, Xianglei Xing, yang qing, Tianshuo Zhang and 1 more

Sydney Poster Session 6, Thu, Dec 10, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Time–Frequency Non-Stationary Modeling for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

Haoyi Zhao, Yishan Jiang, Jiqian Yang, Ji Chang and 2 more

Sydney Poster Session 5, Thu, Dec 10, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Provable State Estimation with Recurrent Models

Vincent Andrieu, Pauline Bernard, Lucas Brivadis, Laurent Praly and 1 more

Paris Poster Session 4, Thu, Dec 10, 5:30 PM–7:30 PM, Paris Poster Hall · Published 2026

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Koopman Generative Operators for Efficient Probabilistic Time-Series Forecasting

Raz Marshanski, Liran Nochumsohn, Mayank Jauhari Iitr, Boris Oreshkin and 1 more

Sydney Poster Session 1, Tue, Dec 8, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Parallel-in-Time Variational Inference for Latent Stochastic Differential Equations

Chenyang Wu, Pengfei Liu, Zongzhang Zhang

Sydney Poster Session 5, Thu, Dec 10, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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SpikeSTAG: A Dendritic Compartmental Spiking Graph Network for Multivariate Time-Series Forecasting

Bang Hu, Changze Lv, Junyi Wang, mingjieli and 3 more

Sydney Poster Session 3, Wed, Dec 9, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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TailFix: Mitigating Error Accumulation and Correcting Tail Deterioration in Long-Horizon Forecasting

Hua Wang, Haijing Gao, Fan Zhang

Sydney Poster Session 6, Thu, Dec 10, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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DSR-TSF: Spectrum-Driven Dynamic Routing for Efficient Long-Horizon Time Series Forecasting

Hua Wang, Bing Li, Fan Zhang

Sydney Poster Session 2, Tue, Dec 8, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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FISC: Time-Series Forecasting via First-Layer Statistical Calibration Constraints

Hua Wang, Xiyuan Zhang, Fan Zhang

Sydney Poster Session 4, Wed, Dec 9, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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BucpTSF: Breaking the Uniform Computation Paradigm in Time-Series Forecasting

Hua Wang, Jinghao Lu, Fan Zhang

Sydney Poster Session 6, Thu, Dec 10, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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DynaPFN: Zero-Shot Dynamical System Forecasting with Tabular Prior-Fitted Networks

Chiara Roverato, Joseph Cotnareanu, Pablo Piantanida, Boris Oreshkin and 1 more

Paris Poster Session 3, Thu, Dec 10, 12:30 PM–2:30 PM, Paris Poster Hall · Published 2026

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SLiDE: Structured Linear Dynamics for Forecasting with Exogenous Inputs

Sebastian Pütz, Theodore Glavas, Benjamin Schäfer, Boris Oreshkin and 1 more

Sydney Poster Session 4, Wed, Dec 9, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Volatility-Whitened Probabilistic Residual Modeling for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting

Fan Zhang, Shiming Fan, Zexuan Ma, Shijun Chen and 2 more

Sydney Poster Session 6, Thu, Dec 10, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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QWaveNet: Quantum-Enhanced Wavelet Network for Time Series Forecasting

Fan Zhang, Shijun Chen, Meijia Wang, Shiming Fan and 2 more

Sydney Poster Session 1, Tue, Dec 8, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Preferential dynamic modeling with forward-backward smoothing

Omid G. Sani, Trisha Jha, Mohammad Hosseini, Maryam Shanechi

Atlanta Poster Session 1, Wed, Dec 9, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall C1 · Published 2026

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Filter Banks: from Low-Rank Representations to Deep Models for Efficient Time Series Forecasting

Ashutosh Vaishnav, Mohsen Amidzadeh, Teemu Kämäräinen, Matti Siekkinen and 1 more

Sydney Poster Session 6, Thu, Dec 10, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Learning Digital Twins under Drift: Optimal Tracking Rates for Non-Stationary Dynamical Systems

David Li, Honggang Wang

Atlanta Poster Session 1, Wed, Dec 9, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall C1 · Published 2026

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SteerCast: Retrieval-Based Latent Steering for Decoder-Only Time Series Forecasting

Van Dai Do, Huu H Nguyen, Minh Hoang Nguyen, Hung Le

Sydney Poster Session 4, Wed, Dec 9, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Visual Anchoring for Scenario-Guided Forecasting

Patara Trirat, Jay Heo, Heejun Lee, Sung Ju Hwang

Sydney Poster Session 2, Tue, Dec 8, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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WILD: Widely Linear Conditioning for Time Series Forecasting

Binli Luo, Wanrong Ma, Ning Gui, Xianhan Tan

Sydney Poster Session 1, Tue, Dec 8, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Knowing When Multivariate Forecasts Are Wrong

Binli Luo, Ning Gui, Xianhan Tan

Sydney Poster Session 2, Tue, Dec 8, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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$PAS^2$: Physics-Anchored Spectral Reasoning for Air Quality Forecasting

Haofeng Ying, Wenbin Lu, Wenxin Shen, Junnan Xu and 1 more

Sydney Poster Session 4, Wed, Dec 9, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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SDHilb: Schrödinger Dynamics-Guided Neural Network with Adaptive Multi-Scale Hilbert Transform for Time Series Forecasting

Caihua He, Weiyang Ding

Sydney Poster Session 2, Tue, Dec 8, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Ensemble Modeling for Time Series Forecasting: an Adaptive Robust Optimization Approach

Adaptive robust optimization builds time-varying linear ensembles of forecasting models that reduce error by 16, 26% and risk by 14, 28% versus best single members and competing methods.

Leonard Boussioux, Henry Mao, Dimitris Bertsimas

Sydney Poster Session 4, Wed, Dec 9, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Existence Precedes Value: Joint Modeling of Observational Existence and Evolving States in Time Series Forecasting

Timeflies jointly infers whether future observations exist and predicts their values, outperforming methods that assume future observation times are known.

Yifan Hu, Hongzhou Chen, Peiyuan Liu, Yiding Liu and 2 more

Sydney Poster Session 2, Tue, Dec 8, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Observable Neural ODEs for Identifiable Causal Forecasting in Continuous Time

Observable Neural ODEs link control-theoretic observability to causal identifiability in continuous-time settings with hidden confounders and outperform recent sequence models in forecasting under alternative treatments.

Jennifer Wendland, Nicolas Freitag, Maik Kschischo

Paris Poster Session 1, Wed, Dec 9, 12:30 PM–2:30 PM, Paris Poster Hall · Published 2026

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lenient 3/5
medium 7/10
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The Dynamic-Probabilistic Consistency Gap in Chaotic Surrogate Modeling

Finite-horizon probabilistic training creates a consistency gap that decouples uncertainty from local dynamics in chaotic surrogates; a Kalman-aware framework evaluating local innovations while transporting covariance through learned Jacobians closes it.

Andre Herz, Matthijs Pals, Daniel Durstewitz, Georgia Koppe

Sydney Poster Session 3, Wed, Dec 9, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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lenient 2/5
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Parallel-in-Time Training of Recurrent Neural Networks for Dynamical Systems Reconstruction

DEER with generalized teacher forcing trains recurrent networks in parallel time to learn nonlinear dynamics on long sequences, outperforming linear state-space models for systems with long time scales.

Florian Hess, Florian Götz, Daniel Durstewitz

Sydney Poster Session 3, Wed, Dec 9, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026 · ▲ 1 on Hugging Face

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lenient 3/5
medium 6/10
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72%Highly rated
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Learning Fractional-Order Dynamics from a Single Trajectory

FO-GS estimates discrete-time fractional-order linear dynamics from one trajectory with both errors scaling as O(t^{-1/2}).

Xiaole Zhang, Ziyi Zhang, zehao zhao, Stephen Tu and 3 more

Atlanta Poster Session 1, Wed, Dec 9, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall C1 · Published 2026

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lenient 3/5
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A Novel Schur-Decomposition-Based Weight Projection Method for Stable State-Space Neural-Network Architectures

A Schur-decomposition-based projection ensures asymptotic stability in state-space neural networks with minimal overparameterization, matching state-of-the-art accuracy and convergence.

Sergio Mauricio Vanegas Arias, Lasse Lensu, Fredy Ruiz

Sydney Poster Session 6, Thu, Dec 10, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Topological Out-of-Domain Generalization in Dynamical Systems Reconstruction

This paper fixes structural mismatches in dynamical system reconstruction via feature splitting to enable zero-shot out-of-domain forecasting across tipping points with derived extrapolation bounds.

Georg Trede, Charlotte Doll, Elias Daniel Weber, Daniel Durstewitz

Sydney Poster Session 1, Tue, Dec 8, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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A Scalable Multi-Task Model for Virtual Sensors

A multi-task virtual sensor model predicts diverse targets via shared representations, reducing computation up to 415x and memory 951x while improving accuracy over isolated and foundation alternatives.

Leon Götz, Lars Frederik Peiss, Erik Sauer, Andreas U Sass and 3 more

Sydney Poster Session 5, Thu, Dec 10, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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lenient 5/5
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strict 3/5
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TimeClaw: A Time-Series AI Agent with Exploratory Execution Learning

TimeClaw learns reusable hierarchical experience from exploratory time-series executions via explore-compare-distill-reinject loops, improving reasoning without online adaptation.

Hangchen Liu, Dongyuan Li, Renhe Jiang, Jiewen Deng and 2 more

Sydney Poster Session 1, Tue, Dec 8, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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lenient 5/5
medium 8/10
strict 0/5
78%Highly rated
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Sparse Koopman Autoencoders Identify Local Dynamical Regimes in Multibasin Systems

Sparse Koopman autoencoders use sparse latent supports as label-free regime indicators that identify local dynamical basins and outperform dense autoencoders in multibasin forecasting.

Aidan Li, Uday Kiran Reddy Tadipatri, Mahan Fathi, Sarath Chandar and 1 more

Sydney Poster Session 4, Wed, Dec 9, 5:00 PM–8:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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lenient 3/5
medium 8/10
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74%Highly rated
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End-to-End Identifiable and Consistent Recurrent Switching Dynamical Systems

A flow-based estimator enables exact likelihood optimization for recurrent switching dynamical systems, proving broad identifiability and improving disentanglement and forecasting over VAE methods.

Carles Balsells Rodas, Zhengrui Xiang, Francisco Sumba Toral, Yingzhen Li

Sydney Poster Session 3, Wed, Dec 9, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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Probabilistic Circuits for Irregular Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

CircuITS uses probabilistic circuits for irregular multivariate time series forecasting to guarantee valid joint distributions and improve density estimation accuracy.

Christian Klötergens, Lars Schmidt-Thieme, Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi

Sydney Poster Session 1, Tue, Dec 8, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM, Hall 1-4 · Published 2026

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lenient 3/5
medium 3/10
strict 1/5
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Curriculum Multiple Shooting for Robust Training of Neural and Universal Differential Equations

Curriculum multiple shooting integrates curriculum learning with multiple shooting to robustly train neural and universal differential equations, accelerating convergence and improving generalization across benchmarks.

Sebastian Persson, Giacomo Fabrini, Branwen Snelling, Fabian Fröhlich

Paris Poster Session 3, Thu, Dec 10, 12:30 PM–2:30 PM, Paris Poster Hall · Published 2026

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RESCAST-100K: A Comprehensive Dataset for Cross-Domain Residential Load and Indoor Temperature Forecasting

RESCAST-100K introduces a 100,000-home benchmark for cross-domain residential load and temperature forecasting, with cross-attention and MLP-mixer models outperforming recurrent baselines under domain shift.

Jainam Dhruva, Yousaf Raza, A.B. Siddique, Simone Silvestri

Paris Poster Session 1, Wed, Dec 9, 12:30 PM–2:30 PM, Paris Poster Hall · Published 2026

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